That’s the current point spread on the Georgia-Appalachian State game. The over/under is 62.5, so Vegas is projecting a final score of something in the neighborhood of 47-16. The Mountaineers have been held under that point total three times this season, by the likes of Montana, Samford and Furman. Either that’s an indication there’s not a lot of Grantham love, some cheap late scoring is expected against the scrubs, or the betting public is expecting a couple more special moments from Georgia’s special teams.
I mention this not because I really care how the final numbers shake out (as long as Georgia wins, duh) but because I think there are some tactical decisions coming up Saturday and it’ll be interesting to how some of them impact the course of the game. For instance:
- How much is Gurley going to play? I suspect more than you might expect, not because they’re looking to pad his numbers, but because he’s got to work on his conditioning.
- It also seems like an awfully good opportunity for Aaron Murray to work on his timing issues with some of the greener receivers. I hope that doesn’t mean he’ll play well into the second half, but I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s more passing in the first half than you’d think. And more incompletions.
- Bobo may not care about stats this week, but I bet Grantham does. It’s also a chance to boost the psyche of a defense that’s been knocked around much of the season. Look for the starters to stay in the game longer than normal with a big lead (of course, if there’s not a big lead…). Another reason for that is that there are conditioning issues on that side of the ball, too, such as with Matthews and Harvey-Clemons, who was substituted for a good bit in the Florida game.
Nothing would surprise me. And that’s even before I get to the subject of Georgia’s generosity. The team we saw in the first half against Florida would destroy ASU; the bunch we saw struggle in the third quarter would make this Saturday a little too close for comfort. The truth will probably lie somewhere between. If that’s what we wind up with, and the Dawgs get healthier, I can live with that.