Big 12 Media Days are underway and the new commissioner, Brett Yormark, is introducing himself to the media for the first time. I wonder how that’s going…
Daily Archives: July 13, 2022
Net YPP, for the win
My evergreen reminder why I track net yards per play here at ze blog:
As a general rule of thumb based on the last four seasons, you’d better create a net YPP of 2+ if you want a realistic shot at the CFP (the four-team version, that is). And if you want to win, you’d better wind up north of 2.5. It doesn’t matter how you get there — track Alabama’s numbers over those four years, for example — just that you do get there.
This is why I like net YPP best, when it comes to advanced stats. It may not be perfect, but it’s relatively easy to understand and it’s a good judge of a team’s overall quality.
Or, to put it another way, here’s a chart from Josh:
In other words, you can’t win if you don’t net yards per play.
Filed under Stats Geek!
Margin called, sucka.
Amusing story from Mack Brown:
“There are so many rumors out there, just like with NIL,” Brown said. “Are these kids making as much as they say they are? Some of them aren’t. I had a guy sitting in my office and say, ‘Coach, I’ve been offered $350,000.’ He was a recruit. I thought he was an OK player. He said, ‘I’ve been offered $350,000 to take it.’ I held up my phone and said, ‘Let’s call them now, man. You ought to take it. You need to take it before you get out of this office. I’d hold them to that if they offered you that much.’”
You have to admire, albeit perversely, a 17-year trying to bluff a coach who’s been in the business for decades and has heard more bullshit on the recruiting trail than I could possibly imagine. Brown doesn’t go on to mention the punchline, but I’m gonna presume that kid ain’t going to North Carolina or the school with the “offer”.
Filed under It's All Just Made Up And Flagellant, Recruiting
Hot, hot, hot (seats)
Dennis Dodd is back with his coaches hot seat ratings.
The Hot Seat has long been an accurate predictor in terms of job security. Over the last five years, 23 of the 35 coaches rated 4 or worse in the preseason eventually lost their jobs (66%).
Entering the 2022 season, there are only eight coaches on the proverbial hot seat (rated 4 or higher).
Only eight, eh? Seems like a tight fit for both Coach 404 and Bryan Harsin, amirite? Nah.
Each is impressive in his own way. Harsin’s managed to get there in only his second season, while Collins has managed to trash his prospects at a place that really doesn’t have the money to get rid of him. Salut, gentlemen!
Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Tech Football
College football, a target rich environment
I’m not sure who has it better, Jimmy Sexton, or the trial attorneys who get to clean up the messes the people running the sport make. It’s a good living, either way.
Filed under See You In Court
Beyond Metchie and Williams
“Well, to start, I think they feel like they reloaded like Alabama last year by a lot of people’s accounts was in some way, shape or form, fortunate to be in that situation to be able to play for a national title. And that’s not a knock on Alabama by any stretch of the imagination. If anything, it’s a compliment to Nick Saban and to his program for being able to outperform what they had on the roster. Because last year they were really lean. And you saw that in the national title game, especially in the secondary.”
Despite all the transfers and decades of recruiting success, Alabama somehow found themselves low on quality depth late last year.
Ummm, this is Nick Fucking Saban we’re talking about. Creator of The Process. King of Recruiting. Master of Player Development. Mr. “I’ll Get You To The NFL, Kid”. Destroyer of Former Assistant Coaches. And he’s the one who wound up low on quality depth, not the guy who beat him for the natty with a walk on quarterback? “Alabama somehow found themselves low” sounds like he was just an innocent bystander who got stuck dealing with a mess somebody else made.
I’m not sure “compliment” means what this dude thinks it means.
Filed under Nick Saban Rules
Today, in something’s missing
Soooo…
… where would Dan Mullen be on this list, if Florida hadn’t unceremoniously dumped his ass? Wrong answers only, please.
Filed under Gators, Gators...
You broke it, you bought it. War Eagle!
Yeesh ($$).
Is Auburn as dead in recruiting as it appears? — Chris P.
Auburn’s 2023 recruiting class added a commitment from four-star receiver Karmello English of Phenix City (Ala.) Central on July 4. English is the No. 144 overall player and the No. 24 receiver in the 2023 class. He’s the highest-rated player in Auburn’s class, which now has four commitments and ranks No. 70 nationally.
Auburn’s four commitments are all solid players. And given we’re still in July, there’s still theoretically some time to salvage this thing. It doesn’t seem like Auburn will, though. At least not right now.
If I’m an Auburn fan, I’m worried. Really worried. The Tigers just aren’t being seriously considered by many of the top players in the country. A quick scroll through 247Sports’ Auburn page, and you’ll see the Tigers don’t appear to be in the mix with many (or any) players in the top 100. And as a reporter who is tracking countless elite recruitments at once, I rarely, if ever, hear anything about Auburn. It’s just not a good place for the program to be in, especially when its rival is Alabama.
Who’da thunk there would be consequences to running a failed palace coup? Couldn’t happen to a more deserving bunch of folks, if you ask me.
Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Recruiting
Alex, I’ll take “false bravado” for $200.
Yeah, I’m sure that’s just the thing to shame Greg Sankey into action, Governor.
Filed under Blowing Smoke, Political Wankery
Fun with numbers
Roster numbers, that is. Here’s the updated 2022 roster for Georgia. Yes, it includes all this year’s enrollees.
One weird thing: there are three players with a 14 jersey number. I guess that means we won’t be seeing Arik Gilbert and Gunner Stockton on the field at the same time this season.
Filed under Georgia Football
Get The Picture 
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